2013 Seattle Mariners Prospect No. 19: Timmy Lopes

Timmy Lopes, 2B, AZL Mariners (Rookie, average age 19.4 in 2012)

5-11, 180 lbs, 19 years old

Bats: Right, Throws: Right

Acquired: 2012 Amateur Draft (6th Round)

2012 Ranking: Unranked

ETA: 2016

The Mariners drafted three shortstops in the first six rounds of the draft. Joe DeCarlo will play third base in the big leagues, and Chris Taylor won’t be on this list. It’s not that I don’t like Taylor, he was on the fringe of this list, but he’s a glove-only kind of college shortstop with fairly limited upside. Timmy Lopes on the other hand is a guy that the Mariners paid over-slot for the chance to see him translate his high school game to pro ball. Lopes beat the hell out of the Arizona League, though the league skewed a year younger this year than last. Lopes had a respectable walk rate (9.8 percent) and strikeout rates (11.9 percent) in Rookie ball, and though is .358 BABIP is not sustainable, his contact rate and 23 extra base hits (no homeruns) speak loudly. Lopes has transitioned to second base (h/t Seafarer), and he should remain there unless his body changes, his arm strength increases, or he’s hit by injuries, and he has potential to be a big league regular at the position, though he’s a long way from it at this time.

Potential (of 40): 24

Probability of Success (of 30): 7

Positional value (of 20): 17

Character (of 10): 10

OVERALL: 58

The rest of the 2013 Top 25 Prospects

  • maqman

    Wonder if he’s related to Davey Lopes?

  • Seafarer

    I know many experts tabbed Taylor a “glove only” shortstop, but he was considered a good enough hitter to bat leadoff for college power UVA and backed that up with a fine performance at the plate in Cape Cod. He wasn’t too shabby in his debut with the Mariners either batting a solid .322 between Everett and Clinton. I know he’s older than the more heralded high-schoolers, Timmy Lopes and Joe DeCarlo, but I’d say his 1st year number compared very favorably with the .313 and .236 averages that they posted in Rookie ball. I’m not sure how you get that Lopes will remain at SS. Based on the fact that he played 43 of his 49 games at 2B…I think it’s pretty clear that the M’s think he is a 2B.

    • http://twitter.com/CaseyMcLain34 Casey McLain

      Totally forgot Lopes switched to 2B. Thanks for the reminder. Gave you credit on the edit. For me the low grade on Taylor is the greater emphasis I put on a player’s ceiling than his probability of sniffing the bigs. If I had to bet on who had the better shot at cracking the bigs, I’d bet on Taylor every time. If I had to bet on who would be the first to 3500 major league plate appearances, I’d bet on Lopes. I don’t think Taylor will ever be a big league regular. He’s organizational depth and a very good defender. Lopes has far higher upside. I’d have had Taylor at something like 5/10/20/10.