Sonics to stay in Sacramento

This sight will be seen again — just not right now.

The city of Seattle didn’t lose today — the city of Sacramento won.

There’s nothing that the fantastic ownership group of Chris Hansen and Steve Ballmer could have done differently in their quest to bring the NBA back to the Emerald City today.

The goal of getting the Sonics back in town was defeated a month ago when the Sacramento group lead by billionaire Vivek Ranadive did what the NBA asked of them — match the Seattle offer.

But there still seemed to a be a glimmer of hope in Sonics fan’s eyes, especially when Lord Hansen raised the offer to buy the team from the Maloof family for far more than Ranadive will last week. Even then though, we all knew how the vote would end today.

In fact, I was surprised to hear that eight owners voted for the relocation — my money was on a near-unanimous decision, not a 22-8 split.

But now the focus is how to move on. Commissioner David Stern made it clear that any talk of expansion won’t happen until the end of the current television deal in 2015-16, and even then a new team in Seattle is far from guaranteed.

Another option is finding another team that is in a poor market and is just cash strapped enough to want to sell — because the one thing the fans of the Sonics must know is that the Hansen/Ballmer group will not quit until a team is back in Seattle.

And finally there’s still the hope that the Maloof’s keep their word and don’t sell the team to the Ranadive group, sell 20 percent of the team to Hansen (after an NBA approval), sit and wait for Sacramento to bail… Continue reading

Evaluating the Bullpen: Shutdowns and Meltdowns

The evaluation of relievers might be evolving more slowly than any other area of baseball, but there are statistics out there that are attempting to weight relievers’ roles more accurately. We’ll get to those, but first, some discussion on closers.

The shiny toy in any team’s bullpen is its closer. Managers (usually) take their best relievers, make them the closers, and let them pitch the ninth inning in save situations. The most common measurement of closer’s skill is measured by saves and blown saves, and closers are paid handsomely for accumulating the former. But the problem is that saves—and reliever outings in general—are not all created equally.

Wilhelmsen throwing MartiniTom Wilhelmsen entered a game in the ninth against the White Sox back in April with a comfortable two-run lead and nobody on base. He proceeded to walk three batters, allowing one to score, and he put the winning run on first base. With a strikeout, the Mariners escaped with a one-run win and the Bartender picked up a save. Compare that to his performance a few weeks ago against the Angels when he entered the game with a one-run lead and had to face Albert Pujols, Josh Hamilton, and Mark Trumbo. A perfect inning later, and Wilhelmsen got another save—but hardly the same as his save against the White Sox earlier in the year.

The advent of win expectancy allowed for the formulation of a new set of statistics for relievers: shutdowns and meltdowns. Those links are good primers on the subject, but here’s a quick rundown through examples:

A reliever comes in with his team down a run in the seventh inning. “Win expectancy” says a typical team in this situation has a 26 percent chance to win. Three outs later, he leaves the game having… Continue reading

What Anthony Rizzo’s extension could mean for the Seattle Mariners

With news of a long extension for young Cubs first baseman Anthony Rizzo and an increasing trend of signing players to extensions before their arbitration years, some fans may be looking for the Mariners to enter that club. While the Mariners have had a relative lack of success as it relates to top-prospect-to-star conversions, the team does have some players that are several years away from free agency that they may consider extending at a discount rate.

The key components to the Rizzo deal, and also the Paul Goldschmidt and Allen Craig deals the preceded it, were Rizzo’s relative youth and service time. Rizzo had almost a year of service time, Goldschmidt nearly a year-and-a-half, and Craig had about two-and-a-half years of service time. Rizzo is in his age 23 season, Goldschmidt in his age 25 season, and Craig in his age 28 season.

The three players have signed to these contract terms per Baseball Reference:

Rizzo: seven years, $41 million, $14.5 million options in 2020 and 2021 with a $2 million buyout each year

Goldschmidt: five years, $32.05 million, with a $14.5 million option in 2019 and a $2 million buyout

Craig: five years, $35 million, with a $13 million option in 2018 and a $1 million buyout

Rizzo has basically spent his career following Jed Hoyer, who helped draft him in Boston, traded for him in San Diego, and then was on the staff that traded for him in Chicago. Rizzo has barely been an average first baseman in about a full-season’s worth of plate appearances, but at only 23 years old average seems less mediocre. There’s no doubt that the Cubs front office has a larger sample of not only actual game-action experience with Anthony Rizzo than any other team, but they’ve likely also invested a fair… Continue reading

Royal Brougham Cast Episode 4: Damian Peterson of Northwest Kingdome

This episode includes Damian Peterson of Northwest Kingdome. I like him a lot, and much of that is derived from my viewing of these two videos.

 

Michael Gspurning and a very good tweet

After a late-game win over Sporting Kansas City, Michael Gspurning busted out this gem:

So there. Michael Gspurning hates snorers.

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Seattle Mariners 2013 Top 25 Prospects

Seattle Mariners Top Prospects

It’s that time of the year again to take a look at the Mariners top prospects. A lot has changed this year, and there are several guys, namely Carlos Triunfel, Stephen Pryor, and Carter Capps that won’t be included...

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CaseyMcLain34CaseyMcLain34: Seattle Mariners bring up Carlos Triunfel to complete Jesus Montero demotion, send Robert Andino to p... http://t.co/XUPhxADW84
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CaseyMcLain34CaseyMcLain34: MLB needs to break the umpires union.
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CaseyMcLain34CaseyMcLain34: I wonder if Sucre and Andrus crossed paths in the Atlanta farm system @TheDaveSimsShow
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CaseyMcLain34CaseyMcLain34: Seattle Mariners bring up Carlos Triunfel to complete Jesus Montero demotion, send Robert Andino to purgatory http://t.co/wKjC2cNXnt
10 hours ago
CaseyMcLain34CaseyMcLain34: Left work an hour early, got home normal time. I-5 south from Seattle sucks today. Avoid if you can. Or drink where you are.
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KUOIMadisonKUOIMadison: RT @JennyDellNESN: Poor @DonOrsillo. Absolutely assaulted by Terry Francona. Don, I must say, you are a trooper! http://t.co/u5Gx1c8f4i
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CaseyMcLain34CaseyMcLain34: Jesus Montero to Tacoma, Jesus Sucre to Seattle http://t.co/hbtDRJZyck
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CaseyMcLain34CaseyMcLain34: Jesus Montero to Tacoma, Jesus Sucre to Seattle http://t.co/mZDgKQLLWe
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CaseyMcLain34CaseyMcLain34: @cliffavril that is literally more shoes than I've owned in my entire life.
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