2013 Seattle Mariners Prospect No. 6: James Paxton

James Paxton, LHP, Jackson Generals (AA, average age 23.8 in 2012)

6-4, 220 lbs, 24 years old

Bats: Left, Throws: Left

Acquired: 2010 Amateur Draft (4th Round)

2012 Ranking: 3rd

ETA: 2013

Paxton’s entry to the Mariners roster was a unique one, as he had been a first round pick of the Blue Jays, and didn’t sign. He wasn’t signed by the Mariners until near the deadline to sign amateur draftees, and he didn’t end up pitching in 2010. In 2011 he dominated the Midwest League and the Southern League, though he experienced walk issues in Clinton, and improved to a sustainable 3.0 BB/9 once he was promoted to Jackson. In his second go around in Jackson in 2012, Paxton returned to his walk issues, walking 4.6 batters per nine innings, and he lost 2.5 K/9 in 2012. For a guy with a power repertoire Paxton yields a lot of ground balls, 45.7 percent in 2012, and that lends to the idea that he has some potential to refine his approach, not make major mechanical changes, pitching to contact to reduce his pitch count. The problem is that Paxton averaged barely five innings per start despite being reasonably productive, and he’ll have to figure that out if he’s not going to surpass what appears to be an Erik-Bedard-esque ceiling, and a Charlie Furbush mid-point. Last year I speculated that Paxton may not be a true member of the “big three” anymore, and he’ll need a big year to get rid of that notion.

Potential (of 40): 35

Probability of Success (of 30): 15

Positional value (of 20): 17

Character (of 10): 10

OVERALL: 77

The rest of the 2013 Top 25 Prospects

  • maqman

    This season will sort out the keepers, sleepers and weepers, this should apply to K-Pax too. If he doesn’t show the goods this season he could end up in the bullpen.