Erik Bedard vs. Chris Capuano

Erik Bedard's now-famous disappointed face, presumably after pitching 4.2 innings in an outing for Boston in which he threw 105 pitches.

With all due respect to Rob Neyer, we are going to steal one of his methods of data display to show a comparison between Erik Bedard and Chris Capuano. Capuano has become seemingly a foregone conclusion to become a Mariner. They flirted with acquiring him last year, and this year they possess the same hole in their rotation.

2011 Stats K/9 BB/9 xFIP WAR
Player 1 8.13 2.56 3.67 1.6
Player 2 8.70 3.34 3.56 2.4

 

 

 

Player one is Capuano, and player two is Bedard.

The point here is to show that when healthy, Bedard and Capuano are basically the same pitchers. They do mostly the same things, and at the same rates.

Bedard is about a half-year younger than Capuano, throws about three miles-per-hour-harder, and has pitched (very effectively when healthy) his entire career in the American League. Capuano pitched more innings last year, so he’s perceived to be healthier, though he missed all of 2008 and pitched in the minors in 2009. Capuano has never pitched in the American league, which can be helpful to some, but considering how many players have seen Capuano from their time in the National League, Capuano probably gets hurt by a greater density of accomplished hitters.

There is an obvious component of whether or not Bedard would even want to return to Seattle, as the club traded him in 2011, and he’s well known to be an Eastern Canadian resident. But if all things are equal, I may opt for Bedard, who I feel is less risky in terms of healthy performance.

And considering the young depth that the Mariners have in the starting pitching ranks, 130 innings pitched from Bedard may be more beneficial to the Mariners than 180 from Capuano.